League of Legends: Top 3 reasons Mega will or won’t win Worlds 2019

League of Legends. Photo courtesy of Riot Games.
League of Legends. Photo courtesy of Riot Games. /
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Can Mega win the 2019 League of Legends Worlds Championship? Here are the top three reasons they will win it or all or potentially be on the outside looking in.

We start our coverage of play-in group C with Mega. Mega represents the League of Legends Sea Tour or LST. They are the only team from there to make it to Worlds in 2019.

Three Reasons why Mega will win Worlds

#1 Champions

Mega is your 2019 LST Champions and the best team in the circuit. They won the Spring Playoffs to earn a spot at MSI. Then they finished second at 6-1 during the Summer Split season. The team that finished ahead of them in the regular split was upset in the playoffs. Mega then swept through a best of three and a best of five undefeated to take the LST title and go to worlds.

You win both playoff series you must know how to win and Mega can do that in their region if nothing else.

#2 International Experience

This is a team that made it to MSI in 2019 for their SEA Spring Playoffs win. They made it to compete but failed to make it to the main event.

This team is also making a trip to Worlds for the second time. Last year, they played at Worlds as Ascension gaming, the only seed from the  SEA Summer tour to make it.

With a lot of new teams making Worlds for the first time it’s nice to have that experience to fall back on and Mega has it. They even have more international experience than some of the major region teams which should serve them well.

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#3 Surprise Party

Despite playing in some prior international tournaments, I don’t think people know what this team can do.

They will have to surprise people to make it out of play-ins than surprise people in groups. To win in the bracket round they have to, you guessed it surprise people.

Teams from unknown regions can be surprising, if they aren’t prepared for. Which takes up resources in preparation time from other teams that could be used elsewhere.  Mega needs to host the biggest surprise party ever to pull this run off.

Three Reasons they don’t win Worlds

#1 Bad region

The LST is honestly barely a professional region. Four of the eight teams in the League are holdovers from the Spring Split, while the other four come into the tour from online qualifiers. Mega even had to win one of these qualifiers before the Spring Split to earn their place in the Spring Tour. They did going 4-0 in the qualifier.

They then proceed to win all five games in the Spring Tour finals and get to MSI.

During the summer six of the eight teams make the playoffs. The bottom two teams that got in to playoffs had records of 3-4 match and 7-8 in games and 2-5 with a 5-11 game record. The playoffs also saw two good teams Mega at 6-1, 13-3 and Win Esports at 7-0 and  14-1. Win defeated Mega to get the first seed in the playoffs. Then Win got upset in the playoffs while Mega had a much easier road to winning it all beating the third seed and fifth seed to win the Worlds spot.

This region is just lacking in competition and seems very much like the early days of League of Legends when any teams came and went quickly and formed from queue ladders in-game. There is no way a record that poor is a playoff team in any good region.

Most playoff teams are maybe a couple of games under .500, or well above it. For example, the last two teams to make the Summer Split LCK playoffs were SKT and Afreeca Freecs at 11-7 match and  26-17 and 26-20 in games respectively.  Granted, the two win team won more than LCK Jin Air, but losing to SKT, Kingzone, Griffin, KT Rolster and company every week is better than losing to Mega, Armored Project Win Esports and more.

Mega will struggle against real teams from actual regions because of how poor their region is.

#2 No one is fooled

Mega is a team that could surprise people, yet a good surprise is only effective if it works. So, if Mega wants to surprise teams with creative drafts and champion picks or other strategies, they have to be sure they work. If other teams can see what they are doing it isn’t a surprise anymore. Not having that element of surprise can and will doom Mega.

Next. Can SKT win it all in 2019?. dark

#3 International failures

Mega has seen time at international tournaments.  They went to MSI in 2019. However, they failed to make it out of play-ins. They finished 2-4 in group B with Vega Squadron, INTZ and Detonation Focusme. They went 0-2 against DFM while going 1-1 against Vega and INTZ to finish in third place. Granted, they did give Vega their only loss of the group stage, but it wasn’t enough to advance to the group stage of the main event and give Mega a shot at the top-tier regions.

Most of this roster competed at worlds in 2018 as Ascension gaming. Yet they didn’t do well either.  They didn’t win a game in play-in groups against G2, or Supermassive.  I could see a repeat of that 0-4 performance happening here this year.

Mega might surprise us all, but I won’t bet on it. Lower your expectations and just be glad you made it this far.