LCS Spring Split 2020: Week 7 Team Power Ranking

Los Angeles, California - February 8: --- during 2020 LCS Spring Split at the LCS Arena on February 8, 2020 in Los Angeles, California, USA.. (Photo by Colin Young-Wolff/Riot Games)
Los Angeles, California - February 8: --- during 2020 LCS Spring Split at the LCS Arena on February 8, 2020 in Los Angeles, California, USA.. (Photo by Colin Young-Wolff/Riot Games) /
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League of Legends. Photo Courtesy of Riot Games.
League of Legends. Photo Courtesy of Riot Games. /

We rank all the LCS teams after a wild Week 7.

The LCS officially makes no sense. TSM went from losing to the worst team in the league to beating the best team in just one week, Team Liquid lost crucial games, and Dignitas blew their gimme games to fall completely out of the hunt. Heck, even Cloud9 lost!

Ranking all of these teams is going to be impossible, but we’re going to (try) do it anyway. We’ll be ranking all ten LCS teams based on their elo to date, but we’ll also be evaluating their remaining schedule. We’ll give the elo differences for each team compared to their final four opponents, how many games we expect them to win in the last two weeks, and their odds of making the playoffs.

10. CLG (3-11)

Elo: 246 (+17)

After shocking TSM last week, CLG followed up that performance by taking down the Doublelift-less Team Liquid in their first game of the weekend. That is officially called a “winning streak” CLG fans. I hope you savored it before Evil Geniuses kicked your teeth in the next day.

As a result of winning two games in the last two weeks, CLG aren’t technically out of the playoff hunt, but realistically they are done. Even if they won out (which would include beating Cloud9) they’d only be 7-11, likely tied with at least one team and needing to win a playoff game to just make the postseason.

Remaining schedule: Dignitas (-108), Cloud9 (-305), Golden Guardians (-103), 100 Thieves (-138)
Estimated remaining/final record: 0-4 / 3-15
Playoff odds: <5%

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9. Team Liquid (6-8)

Elo: 338 (-42)

Last week, I was praising TL from climbing out of the gutter, addressing their problems at ADC by subbing in Tactical, and playing lights out in their two games against TSM and 100 Thieves. They entered Week 7 with a cupcake schedule and a chance to separate themselves from the pack. And they somehow blew it.

They finished (likely) laughing at TSM only to see themselves also fumble against CLG. Their response was reasonable, if incorrect in my opinion: they subbed Doublelift back in for their game against Immortals…which they promptly lost.

These two losses not only confirmed the fact that the team’s issue is bigger than just one player, but they also knocked TL out of pole position to make the playoffs. They do not have an easy remaining schedule by any means and we could be looking at a playoffs where Team Liquid is sitting at home.

Remaining schedule: Evil Geniuses (-9), Golden Guardians (-10), FlyQuest (-87), Cloud9 (-213)
Estimated remaining/final record: 1-3 / 7-11
Playoff odds: 15%

8. Evil Geniuses (7-7)

Elo: 347 (+34)

Evil Geniuses have always been that team where their team stats, win/loss record, and elo all tell a different story. By record, they are a middle-of-the-pack team, by elo they are one of the worst, and by team stats they are one of the best. This weekend, their elo improved by a significant amount thanks to beating FlyQuest (and avoiding embarrassment by beating CLG), but it still ranks quite low thanks to their early stumbles this year.

The good news for EG is that their remaining schedule is very winnable (likely except for their Week 9 game against C9). The bad news is that all four games are also easily loseable. They should be able to make playoffs this year, but EG hasn’t done what they should do at all this split.

Remaining schedule: Team Liquid (+9), Dignitas (-6), Cloud9 (-204), Immortals (-1)
Estimated remaining/final record: 1.5-2.5 / 8.5-9.5
Playoff odds: 60%

7. Immortals (7-7)

Elo: 348 (+3)

I have no idea what Immortals are as a team. Statistically, they are the second-worst team ahead of only CLG, posting the second-longest average game time in wins (over 40 minutes), the biggest average gold deficits at 15 minutes, and the second-worst gold per minute (again, ahead of only CLG).

And yet, this weekend they managed to swipe a win off Team Liquid to stay firmly in the pack heading down the stretch. Yes, they do have two very tough games ahead in TSM and FlyQuest, but if Immortals can keep defying expectations and logic, they could end up in the playoffs.

Remaining schedule: TSM (-69), FlyQuest (-77), Dignitas (-6), Evil Geniuses (+1)
Estimated remaining/final record: 1-3 / 8-10
Playoff odds: 50%

6. Golden Guardians (6-8)

Elo: 349 (+23)

The Golden Guardians are another team where the elo, stats, and record all disagree. They’ve been hanging around the middle-of-the-pack elo wise for most of the season, despite having some weak individual players and a horrible early game.

Yet, looking at their remaining schedule, Golden Guardians could easily make their way into the playoffs if things break their way. Unlike most of the other teams around them in the standings, they won’t have to play Cloud9 (aka almost certainly an auto-loss at this point) and they get to play CLG still. If this team was 7-7, I’d say that they’re almost guaranteed playoffs, but even now they’re still in a strong spot.

Remaining schedule: Team Liquid (+10), TSM (-69), CLG (+103), FlyQuest (-77)
Estimated remaining/final record: 1.5-2.5 / 8.5-9.5
Playoff odds: 55%